Friday, January 04, 2008

Viva la Revolucion!

Wow! It’s only the first step but exciting things can even happen in Iowa. What we saw last night was extremely encouraging – a complete renunciation of both parties’ preferred candidates and the overall establishment. Obama and Huckabee are outsiders in their own parties who had the nerve – the nerve, I say! – to combat uninspiring and unpopular front-runners pushed by the insiders. And both of them pulled it off. Kudos to both, and I do wish them continued success.

Just like you, I believed Hillary’s nomination was inevitable and was already counting the Democrats out. She is now in a truly difficult situation (wipe that smile off your face). The only way to bring him down now is to go negative and attack. Unfortunately, voters are less convinced when a female candidate fights dirty, and it has a very strong potential to further backfire. If she finishes second in New Hampshire, you can drive the stake in. If she pulls it off, prepare for a long and ugly road ahead.

And Mike Huckabee? I’m with Andrew Sullivan on this: He is the perfect candidate for today’s GOP. If you build a theocratic base, you will get a theocratic candidate. Huckabee is a Baptist preacher who thinks the world is 6,000 years old. He seems to have no clue about current events. He knows nothing about foreign policy. He is pushing a populist tax scheme that sounds deceptively easy and, if enacted, would lead this country to a very deep recession, and longtime Republican supporters in the business world know it. But as long as he wants to ban abortion and homosexuality, then the GOP base doesn’t care. And unlike our current “compassionate conservative” leader, Huckabee really does seem to be compassionate about the less fortunate. As Arkansas governor, he continually raised taxes to help improve social services for poor families. He’ll be trounced in a general election and I’d never vote for him, but I do wish Huckabee the best. It’s a pleasure to see blowhards like Limbaugh stew over this because voters have the unmitigated gall to not do what he tells them to. And did you notice Ron Paul got 10% of the vote? There’s definitely a revolution brewing here, even more than in the Democratic Party.

Just a couple of weeks ago, I was whining to my wife about the potential of having Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney, the two most plastic, unlikable, polarizing, lying flip floppers in the race today being the candidates. This time next month, that could be just a very bad dream the entire country had at once.

On to New Hampshire, a state I know pretty well. The state is dominated by classic New England Independents – socially liberal, fiscally conservative and deeply distrustful of evangelicals or anyone else telling them what to do. Ron Paul and John McCain will do better here. Stay tuned.

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